Monsoon to Hit Kerala, Northeast India Next 24 Hours!
The monsoon to hit Kerala and parts of northeast India in the next 24 hours, according to the latest update from IMD. This significant weather event is expected to bring heavy rainfall and possible flooding to these regions.
24-Hour Warning: Monsoon to Hit Kerala, Northeast India
Monsoon is expected to start over Kerala and parts of northeast India within the next 24 hours, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). This will bring relief to the heat wave in northwest and central India from Wednesday.
The IMD noted the usual monsoon start date for Kerala is June 1. The IMD also forecast a 3-4°C drop in maximum temperatures in Northwest and Central India over the next 3-4 days.
The conditions are becoming favorable for the southwest monsoon to move into parts of the South Arabian Sea, Maldives, Comorin area, Lakshadweep, and parts of the Bay of Bengal. Last year, the monsoon onset was delayed by a week, starting on June 8.
The normal monsoon start in Kerala is June 1, moving northward to cover the country by July 15. In northeast India, the monsoon usually begins around June 5, though it can start earlier if the Bay of Bengal arm of the monsoon is active.
The Bay of Bengal monsoon arm is currently very active due to cyclone 'Remal', causing heavy rainfall in the northeast. All monsoon onset criteria in Kerala have been met recently.
The monsoon onset in Kerala is confirmed if, after May 10, 60% of 14 stations report 2.5mm of rain or more for two days, with a south-westerly wind pattern and low Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR).
The IMD had predicted the monsoon onset in Kerala around May 31, with a margin of +/-4 days. Over the past 19 years, the IMD's predictions have mostly been accurate, except in 2015.
Kerala has experienced heavy rains this week, causing damage to homes, flooding, uprooted trees, and delayed trains.
A yellow alert was issued in seven districts, predicting heavy rainfall. The IMD expects more isolated heavy rain in these areas soon. The southwest monsoon's arrival in Kerala marks the shift from a hot, dry season to a rainy one.
India's agriculture ministry states that 51% of farm areas and 40% of production rely on rain, making the monsoon crucial. With 47% of the population dependent on agriculture, a good monsoon supports the rural economy.
A cyclonic circulation over northeast Assam will cause light to moderate rain with thunderstorms and gusty winds over several northeastern states and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim for the next week.
Isolated heavy rain is likely in Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Sikkim in the next five days, and in Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura on May 30. Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, and Odisha will see light to moderate rain and thunderstorms from May 31 to June 2.
A shear zone over south India and strong westerly winds along the Kerala coast will bring light to moderate rain with thunderstorms and gusty winds to Kerala & Mahe, Lakshadweep, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Karnataka, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Rayalaseema over the next week.
Heavy rain is expected in Kerala & Mahe, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Tamil Nadu, and South Interior Karnataka in the coming days.
A new western disturbance will affect the Western Himalayan region on May 30, causing light rain with thunderstorms in Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, reducing heat in the region over the next two days, according to Mohapatra.
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