Monsoon Hits Kerala and Northeast Two Days Early - Surprising Update!
Monsoon hits Kerala and Northeast two days earlier than usual: IMD reports this surprising weather phenomenon! This early arrival has taken many by surprise, affecting millions across the region. In this video, we delve into the reasons behind this unexpected shift, the potential impacts on agriculture and daily life, and what the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts for the coming weeks.
Unprecedented Weather: Monsoon Hits Kerala and Northeast, Says IMD
The normal date for the monsoon to start in Kerala is June 1. After that, it moves north, usually in stages, and covers the entire country around July 15. Monsoon arrived in Kerala and most parts of northeast India on Thursday, May 30, two days before its usual start date of June 1.
The monsoon core zone, which includes most of the rainfed farming areas in the country, is expected to get more rain than usual.
The normal date for the monsoon to start in Kerala is June 1. After that, it moves north, usually in stages, and covers the entire country around July 15. Normally, the monsoon reaches northeast India around June 5. But in some years, when the Bay of Bengal part of the monsoon is active, it reaches northeast India at the same time.
"The Bay of Bengal part of the monsoon is very active because of severe cyclone Remal, which has pulled the monsoon flow over the region. There has been very heavy rain over the northeastern states in the past two days. Also, all the criteria for the monsoon to start in Kerala have been met in the past two days," said M Mohapatra, director general, IMD.
If after May 10, at least 60% of 14 stations — Minicoy, Amini, Thiruvananthapuram, Punalur, Kollam, Alappuzha, Kottayam, Kochi, Thrissur, Kozhikode, Thalassery, Kannur, Kudulu, and Mangalore — report rainfall of 2.5mm or more for two consecutive days, the monsoon over Kerala is declared on the second day, provided the wind pattern is south-westerly and Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) is low. OLR shows the total radiation going to space emitted by the atmosphere or the amount of cloudiness.
The start of the southwest monsoon over mainland India is marked by the monsoon's arrival in Kerala and signals the transition from the hot and dry season to the rainy season. As the monsoon moves north, areas get relief from the intense summer heat. According to India’s agriculture ministry, 51% of India’s farmed area, accounting for 40% of production, relies on rain, making the monsoon essential. With 47% of the country’s population dependent on agriculture for their livelihood (according to this year’s Economic Survey), a good monsoon is directly linked to a healthy rural economy.
Monsoon rain over the country from June to September is likely to be "above normal" at 106% of the long period average (LPA) with a model error of ± 5%, IMD said in its long-range forecast on April 15.
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